Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 49.673372 56.809733 64.215929 72.444829 81.301481 90.518103 100.805356
2024-10-27 37.210806 46.997848 57.746845 70.297468 84.423297 99.714115 117.402103
2024-11-03 32.544550 44.095169 57.283644 73.187727 91.591779 111.987050 136.069525
2024-11-10 28.554326 41.272562 56.309826 74.955401 97.037459 121.979323 151.913615
2024-11-17 24.053351 37.224359 53.367429 73.945323 98.865641 127.521703 162.432812
2024-11-24 20.345130 33.716477 50.691825 72.901586 100.352814 132.428446 172.022808
2024-12-01 17.737286 31.342260 49.179064 73.059211 103.098285 138.674785 183.072666
2024-12-08 15.537341 29.270418 47.849160 73.269092 105.767539 144.730425 193.830931
2024-12-15 13.811870 27.676940 46.997327 73.962464 108.939895 151.328838 205.201772
2024-12-22 11.793933 25.413322 45.046787 73.061403 109.978405 155.237204 213.276490
2024-12-29 10.671988 24.407741 44.755011 74.291683 113.685700 162.401860 225.293398
2025-01-05 9.765989 23.645857 44.737238 75.838723 117.770673 170.026102 237.884425
2025-01-12 8.321974 21.829193 43.083593 75.087915 118.851387 173.934011 246.003465
2025-01-19 6.764256 19.587320 40.625376 73.077800 118.167519 175.549713 251.250841
2025-01-26 6.459127 19.623441 41.651816 76.010853 124.094788 185.589939 267.014367
2025-02-02 5.952437 19.202782 41.918233 77.824556 128.505717 193.700229 280.393785
2025-02-09 4.965785 17.665807 40.288406 76.789905 128.983454 196.710734 287.348490
2025-02-16 4.101202 16.222911 38.697951 75.721321 129.345005 199.522918 294.022381
2025-02-23 3.531634 15.331274 37.962874 75.882708 131.374708 204.490911 303.428053
2025-03-02 3.035237 14.514256 37.293084 76.097610 133.450290 209.506228 312.896331
2025-03-09 2.656887 13.916935 36.964414 76.807526 136.207344 215.418000 323.523868
2025-03-16 2.139389 12.811904 35.632824 75.884955 136.598024 218.163163 330.067561
2025-03-23 1.908335 12.472503 35.689496 77.144580 140.110978 225.077667 342.010748